East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
653  Simeon Roberts SO 33:06
675  Adam Chase SR 33:08
689  Sean Duffy SR 33:09
1,050  James Miller SR 33:43
1,241  Matthew Warriner SO 33:59
1,476  Matthew Joyner JR 34:17
1,531  Angus Baldwin JR 34:21
2,002  Daniel Sonnenfeldt FR 35:01
2,054  Haydn Borghetti-Metz FR 35:06
National Rank #133 of 311
South Region Rank #12 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 11.2%
Top 10 in Regional 76.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Simeon Roberts Adam Chase Sean Duffy James Miller Matthew Warriner Matthew Joyner Angus Baldwin Daniel Sonnenfeldt Haydn Borghetti-Metz
UNCG Spartan Invitational 09/26 1110 33:04 33:24 33:32 33:47 33:05 34:11 34:04 35:14 35:17
Southern Conference Championships 10/31 1087 32:53 33:09 33:04 33:34 33:59 34:22 33:37 34:52 34:58
South Region Championships 11/14 1117 33:39 32:54 33:02 33:50 34:36 34:15 36:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 8.6 268 0.1 2.2 9.0 11.7 15.2 14.4 13.2 10.6 8.0 6.7 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simeon Roberts 0.1% 230.5
Sean Duffy 0.0% 212.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simeon Roberts 35.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.5 2.8
Adam Chase 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.3
Sean Duffy 37.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.4
James Miller 65.6
Matthew Warriner 81.8
Matthew Joyner 99.2
Angus Baldwin 102.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 0.1 3
4 2.2% 2.2 4
5 9.0% 9.0 5
6 11.7% 11.7 6
7 15.2% 15.2 7
8 14.4% 14.4 8
9 13.2% 13.2 9
10 10.6% 10.6 10
11 8.0% 8.0 11
12 6.7% 6.7 12
13 4.6% 4.6 13
14 2.7% 2.7 14
15 1.1% 1.1 15
16 0.6% 0.6 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0